Impeaching the President

President Clinton’s conduct was unacceptable on many levels. His resignation is past due. Forget about further apologies. Any apology unaccompanied by his resignation isn’t worth the time it takes to listen.
However, the president is not the only person who should tender his resignation. As I watched the proceedings of the Judiciary Committee I was appalled. I watched one congressman after another, from both parties, launch attacks against the president or his detractors. No one was listening, no one was trying to determine if the facts supported bringing charges to the floor of the house. The votes were foreordained. The Republicans were going to do whatever to took to bring down the president. Just as blindly the Democrats were going to do whatever it took to defend him. I call upon every member of the committee to resign.

The debate on the House floor was no better, a show staged for the benefit of the cameras. No one was listening, no one was considering if the facts warranted impeachment. One congressman after another went public with his decision before the debate even began! When it was over only 10 congressmen, evenly divided, voted against their party’s direction.

Bill Bennett asks where’s the outrage? Well I for one am outraged, … at both political parties. They have turned public service into a football game where all that matters is that their team win. In every speech, in every interview, in every sound bite, in their position on virtually every issue they demonstrate that they hold the interests of their party above the welfare of the nation. I call upon the electorate to send them a clear message, it ends now!

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Government Secrecy Update

On March 3, 1997 the Commission on Protecting and Reducing Government Secrecy issued its final report.

In its Summary of Findings and Recommendations the commission wrote:

“It is time for a new way of thinking about secrecy.

“Secrecy is a form of government regulation. Americans are familiar with the tendency to over-regulate in other areas. What is different with secrecy is that the public cannot know the extent or the content of the regulation.

“Excessive secrecy has significant consequences for the national interest when, as a result, policymakers are not fully informed, government is not held accountable for its actions, and the public cannot engage in informed debate. This remains a dangerous world; some secrecy is vital to save lives, bring miscreants to justice, protect national security, and engage in effective diplomacy. Yet as Justice Potter Stewart noted in his opinion in the Pentagon Papers case, when everything is secret, nothing is secret. Even as billions of dollars are spent each year on government secrecy, the classification and personnel security systems have not always succeeded at their core task of protecting those secrets most critical to the national security. The classification system, for example, is used too often to deny the publican understanding of the policy making process, rather than for the necessary protection of intelligence activities and other highly sensitive matters.”

The report goes on at great length (This is after all a government report.) to describe the problems created by excessive government secrecy and proposes a number of recommendations. On the whole the analysis is sound. Excessive government secrecy is both extremely expensive and in many ways counter-productive. Senator Moynihan gives a good example of this in his chairman’s forward.

“An example, on a subject that still troubles our foreign relations, is the abortive Bay of Pigs invasion of Cuba in April, 1961. Planned and carried out in secret, the object was to arouse a popular revolt against the regime of Fidel Castro, which had become unmistakably Communist units orientation. No such uprising occurred, and the events were set in motion that arguably led to the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, the closest the United States and the Soviet Union came to a nuclear exchange during the Cold War.

“It need not have happened. In the spring of 1960, Lloyd A. Free of the Institute for International Social Research at Princeton (no friend of the new regime, but a social scientist, withal) had carried out an extensive public opinion survey in Cuba. Polling techniques now common to American politics were already quite developed by scholars such as Free and his associate Hadley Cantril; in this case the technique was the ‘Self-Anchoring Striving Scale.’ One thousand Cubans were asked to rank their well-being at that time, five years previously, and five years hence. Cubans reported they were hugely optimistic about the future, and mostly dreaded the return of the previous dictator Fulgencio Batista. They would learn better, as peoples the world over would do as the earlier excitements of revolution gave way to Leninist terror and intimidation. But they had not learned yet. Free’s report ended on an unambiguous note: Cubans ‘are unlikely to shift their present overwhelming allegiance to Fidel Castro.’ Cantril later recalled:

“This study on Cuba showed unequivocally not only that thereat majority of Cubans supported Castro, but that any hope of stimulating action against him or exploiting a powerful opposition in connection with the United States invasion of 1961 was completely chimerical, no matter what Cuban exiles said or felt about the situation, and that the fiasco and its aftermath, in which the United States became involved, was predictable.

“These data were public, and were dutifully provided to United States Government agencies. (The Cuban Embassy sent for ten copies.) It is difficult not to think that the information in the public opinion survey might have had greater impact had it been classified. In a culture of secrecy, that which is not secret is easily disregarded or dismissed.” I hope that Congress addresses the commission’s recommendations seriously.

Final Report: Commission on Protecting and Reducing Government Secrecy

Secrecy : TheAmerican Experience

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On Government Secrecy

Over seven million documents are classified every year. It is time to revise our system. I suggest that before any information is classified, credible answers to the following questions must be provided.

  • Is it a secret?
  • Who must not find out?
  • What harm will come to the United States if “they” find out?

Let me elaborate.

Is it a secret?

A simple question or so it would seem.

On March 9, 1979, a temporary restraining order stopped the Progressive from publishing an article by Howard Morland containing the “secrets” of the hydrogen bomb.[1] But were there any secrets? No classified information was used to prepare the article. Indeed, the most important reference was an article in the Encyclopedia Americana written by Dr. Edward Teller ten years earlier. While the lawyers were exchanging briefs in the case, highly technical H-bomb reports, UCRL-4725 and UCRL-5280 sat on the open shelves at the Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory’s public library. These reports were at least as revealing as the Morland article. They were later reclassified. The Justice Department’s case unraveled as it became more and more obvious that the “secret” was already out.

To be credible, a yes answer requires more than, “Well, I didn’t tell anybody.” In today’s world there are many sources of information. If any person with the desire, using only unclassified sources, can uncover the information then it is not secret. It follows then, that any compilation or reorganization of unclassified information cannot meet this standard.

Who must not find out?

During warfare this question has an obvious answer. An enemy acquiring information about troop movements or invasion plans or the like can create serious damage. Before any information can be classified the who must be as clearly definable.

The August 11, 1984 issue of Jane’s Defense Weekly included photographs of the first Soviet nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, then being built on the Black Sea. That started a chain of events that put Samuel Morison in prison.[2]

The Soviets knew they were building a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier. The Soviets also knew we had the means to photograph the carrier. The photographs were taken by a KH-11 spy satellite. In 1978, the Soviets obtained a copy of the system’s manuals. In 1980, the Iranians published a number of photographs they recovered from the aborted U.S. mission to rescue the hostages. In 1981, Aviation Week printed a photograph of a Russian airstrip taken with a KH-11. The capabilities of the spy satellite were no secret.

In this case, who must not find out? I still can’t figure out that one.

In answering this question, the primary target of secrecy must never be the American public. During our involvement in Vietnam, the administration tried to keep the bombing in Cambodia a secret. Frankly, bombing is a difficult thing to keep secret. The Cambodians knew they were being bombed, so did the Vietnamese and through them even the Soviets knew what was happening. The real target of secrecy was the American public.

What harm will come to the United States if “they” find out?

The basic premise is that information must be classified to protect national security. National security is a vague term, one easily abused.

There was a substantial controversy surrounding the 1977 publication of Decent Interval by Frank Snepp. The real issue was less about protecting the national security than about protecting individuals and agencies from public ridicule.

All too often, classification is used not to protect the national security but to protect individuals, agencies, or the current administration from accusations of corruption, mismanagement, etc. Those individuals authorized to classify information must understand that their individual self-interest is not national security; the embarrassment of a government agency is not national security; the continued funding of a government program is not national security.

In 1982, Ronald Regan’s Executive Order 12356 removed the Carter restriction that information could only be classified if its disclosure could cause “identifiable” damage to national security. It is time to return to that standard.

Why should we be concerned about government secrecy?

In 1991, the federal government classified 7,107,017 documents. In 1989, the cost to industry of protecting classified information reached $13.8 billion according to Department of Defense estimates.[3]

The cost of secrecy goes beyond that. In 1991 there were 5,893 secrecy orders in effect including 506 “John Doe” orders.[4] The American public did not gain any benefit from these new technologies. The secrecy orders represent opportunities lost.

In 1970, the Defense Science Board’s Task Force on Security investigated the effectiveness of the nation’s security system.[5] The committee, containing such luminaries as Dr. Edward Teller, wrote:

“In spite of elaborate and very costly measures taken independently by the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. to preserve technical secrecy, neither the United Kingdom nor China was long delayed in developing hydrogen weapons.

“Also, classification of technical information impedes its flow within our own system, and may easily do far more harm than good by stifling critical discussion and review or by engendering frustration. There are many cases in which the declassification of technical information within our system probably had a beneficial effect and its classification has had a deleterious one.”


[1] Howard Morland, “The H-bomb secret – To know how is to ask why,” The Progressive(Nov. 1979)

[2] Philip Weiss, “The Quiet Coup,” Harper’s Magazine (Sept. 1989)

[3] Steven Aftergood, “The Perils of Government Secrecy,” Issues in Science and Technology (Summer 1992)

[4] When applying for a patent, an inventor can instead be hit with a secrecy order. The invention must be kept secret. Typically secrecy orders are applied to technology developed with the assistance of government funding. A “John Doe” secrecy order applies to technology developed independent of government financing.

[5] Frederick Seitz, chairman, “Report of the Defense Science Board Task Force on Secrecy.” Office of the Director of Defense Research and Engineering, The Pentagon, July 1, 1970.

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Contract with America

This week as Congress goes into session the Republican “Contract with America” will likely dominate the debate.

As an engineer I spend my time searching for solutions to problems. The approach is systematic and includes several key elements typically missing from political discourse.


  • Assemble the facts. It is particularly important to pay attention to assumptions. Assumptions have the nasty habit of masquerading as facts.
  • Identify key unknowns. It is said that what you don’t known can’t hurt you. The opposite is usually true.
  • Design possible solutions.
  • Define success. Without a careful definition it is difficult to decide if a possible solution works and is cost effective.
  • Test. Typically, governments put a solution in place and then never look back. Testing any solution is critical to progress. New manufacturing processes typically go through two levels of testing. First, laboratory or bench scale testing. If that is successful then a pilot facility is built to test the process in the “real” world. Especially important is the willingness to abandon approaches that don’t work.


With these elements in minds let’s take a closer look at parts of the Republican contract.

1. THE FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT

“A balanced budget/tax limitation amendment and a legislative line-item veto to restore fiscal responsibility to an out-of-control Congress, requiring them to live under the same budget constraints as families and businesses.”

THE FACTS

Pork is an inevitable consequence of representative democracy. Politicians do not win elections by proudly announcing their opposition to spending in their district. Cutting spending will require substantial courage on the part of Congress. Unfortunately, courage does not appear to be a common character trait.

The electorate believes taxes are too high. They also oppose any spending cuts on programs from which they benefit.

POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS

Line item veto and a balanced budget amendment. Will either solution provide courage to those in Congress? No, but they will provide ready excuses when they don’t “bring home the bacon.”

DEFINITION OF SUCCESS

Net savings. Calculating what spending would have been will be difficult but is essential to evaluate these measures.

RECOMMENDATION

TEST the line item veto for a limited period, preferably not ending during an election year. Renew if and only if a net savings is realized.

2. THE TAKING BACK OUR STREETS ACT

“An anti-crime package including stronger truth-in-sentencing, ‘good faith’ exclusionary rule exemptions, effective death penalty provisions, and cuts in social spending from this summer’s ‘crime’ bill to fund prison construction and additional law enforcement to keep people secure in their neighborhoods and kids safe in their schools.”

THE FACTS

Violent crime rates in this country are the highest among western industrial societies. The incarceration rate is now higher than other western societies. Although the crime rates are not growing there is greater public fear of crime. Significant prison building programs have had no discernible effect. Ever tougher crime bills have had no discernible effect. Recidivism is very high among those released from prison.

No studies have shown any relationship between murder rates and the death penalty. At least one study indicates that execution is more expensive than lifetime imprisonment.

A “get tough” policy and the death penalty in particular is perceived by the public as appropriate justice for violent crime.

ASSUMPTIONS

Increasing sentences and harsher prison conditions will eventually reduce crime rates. Unfortunately all available information disagrees.

RECOMMENDATIONS

With no solutions available precluding any option in favor of “get tough” policies that do not work would be a grave error. Now is the time to open up the search for solutions, TEST various options under careful trial conditions and find out what works and what doesn’t.

3. THE PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT

“Discourage illegitimacy and teen pregnancy by prohibiting welfare to minor mothers and denying increased AFDC for additional children while on welfare, cut spending for welfare programs, and enact a tough two-years-and-out provision with work requirements to promote individual responsibility.”

THE FACTS

Welfare has not turned out to be the short term assistance program it was envisioned to be. It has become a deep hole entrapping people. A variety of negative incentives discourage people from climbing out of welfare. The minimum wage is now less than it was twenty five years ago in constant dollars. Federal Reserve Board works to prevent further reductions in unemployment in order to keep wages low.

ASSUMPTION

Those on welfare are simply lazy. They can be transformed into productive citizens by removing the safety net.

RECOMMENDATION

Welfare reform is necessary. But we must go beyond getting tough and break down the barriers that entrap welfare recipients. We must remove the penalties for taking the first steps to independence. TEST a variety of possible solutions.

6. THE NATIONAL SECURITY RESTORATION ACT

“No U.S. troops under U.N. command and restoration of the essential parts of our national security funding to strengthen our national defense and maintain our credibility around the world.”

THE FACTS

Over the last fifty years military budgets were defined in terms of a single objective: to meet any threat from the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union no longer exists. The military strength of Russia is considerably weakened, its ability to compete in a technological arms race is at end. And yet there are steady calls to maintain or increase the budgets.

A major goal of any bureaucracy is the protection of its budget. It is therefore not surprising that the military leaders have been inventing new threats to our security to justify continued high levels of spending.

RECOMMENDATION

The real question goes well beyond the size of the budget. A thorough review of the military force structure is needed. Let’s be sure we have strength where we need it today rather than continue the staggeringly expensive arms race against the nonexistent Soviet Union.

8. THE JOB CREATION AND WAGE ENHANCEMENT ACT

“Small business incentives, capital gains cut and indexation, neutral cost recovery, risk assessment/cost-benefit analysis, strengthening the Regulatory Flexibility Act and unfunded mandate reform to create jobs and raise worker wages.”

ASSUMPTIONS

Capital gains tax reductions will increase production capacity, productivity, decrease costs and create jobs, all the good things. Government regulation is an unnecessary interference with business. Allowing businesses instead to be regulated by market forces will allow greater competitiveness in the international arena leading to greater job creation and resurgent standards of living.

These assumptions arise from simplistic models of modern capitalism.

The model of competition is taken from the medieval city state. Imagine a village with four cobblers each competing to provide shoes to the local populace. Some combination of price, quality and service allows some to thrive while others fail. The business world today is very different. Left to their own devices many businesses work hard to avoid such fair competition.

The role of capital is modeled upon the small manufacturer. Imagine a small shoe manufacturer. To further expand he needs money for new stitching machines. With the new equipment he can increase his production capacity and employ new workers. Most capital today doesn’t follow this model. It isn’t used to increase production capacity and create employment. It stays within Wall Street and is used to create great personal wealth.

RECOMMENDATION

We need to reevaluate the use of capital before considering any further tax advantages for capital gains. We need to acknowledge that not all capital provides benefits to the greater community. Therefore not all capital gains should be given special tax status.

9. THE COMMON SENSE LEGAL REFORM ACT

“ ‘Loser pays’ laws, reasonable limits on punitive damages and reform of product liability laws to stem the endless tide of litigation.”

THE FACTS

There is a great deal of abuse of the legal system. Lawyers have encouraged people to believe that any misfortune is actionable. The chief beneficiaries are lawyers.

RECOMMENDATION

We need to be very careful with a “Loser pays” law. It may ease the strangulation of the courts but it also provides another powerful tool for abuse. Instead we should attack abuse directly, and hold lawyers to a higher standard of conduct.

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